El Nino peak moved

Wednesday, 23 September 2026, 6:30 pm

National Weather Service Director, Jimmy Gomoga (Supplied)

El Nino to reach peak period in November-December

The El Niño and prolonged dry season will have reached its highest peak around November and December and potentially will produce its greatest impacts yet.

National Weather Service Director, Jimmy Gomoga says El Nino is yet to reach its peak around the end of this year, the strength of El Niño and its impact are not uniform.

“We declared the El Nino on the 16th of June this year, and since then it has been developing.

“We have not reached the peak, it's still going towards its peak, and the El Nino should peak around November, December.” Gomoga said.

Gomoga said El Nino is firmly established and continues to strengthen, with further warming expected.

“We normally monitor the area called 3.4, it's in the central and pacific region around Tahiti.

“We also monitor that region to ensure that the surface temperatures, when they reach about 0.8 degrees, then we know that it has gone into El Nino conditions, it has already reached El Nino thresholds.” Gomoga said.

He says the dry season will is expected to end in April or May of 2027.

“From the data, especially around 3.4, the area that we are monitoring, the ocean temperatures for El Nino, the data shows that it's going to reach the peak in November, December.

“It will begin to decay around January, February, and then by April, May, we should be able to exit. But it might, but the impacts, not that it might, but when it ends in April, May, then the impact will still remain throughout the dry season.” He said.

The weather service is closely monitoring El Nino as it continues to develop.